
11-15 is no way to go through life, son
I know, I know: all indications are “no.” But, if you feel that in spite of that, the answer will be “yes,” then here’s your chance to own it.
Systematically, the ledger of things that suggests hoping for a lightning strike of baseball-esque fortune could pay off is fairly lengthy. At its base level, the Braves are 42-41 by BaseRuns, which means they’re fewer than two games back of the sixth-place NL team by BaseRuns. They don’t really need much more justification than that to avoid selling, but then you consider that their wOBA-xwOBA gap is only growing and yeah, the stars are aligning for “it just hasn’t been our year to date!” Which, it hasn’t. But it’s also gambler’s fallacy to suggest that it’s going to even out in the remaining 80 games or so…
Anyway, here’s your chance to look prescient. You can feel free to debate whether they should sell, but that’s a separate question — I’m mostly wondering whether you think all the protestations have been optics-only and when push comes to shove, they’ll cave. Or not.
Record: 38-45
Yesterday’s wOBA and xwOBA: .225 / .328 (Season rank: 20th / 11th)
Yesterday’s opponent wOBA and xwOBA: .269 / .279 (Season rank: 12th / 11th)
Yesterday’s homers: 1
Yesterday’s homers allowed: 0
Record when out-xwOBAing: 27-16 (League: 913-329)
Record when out-xwOBAed: 11-29 (League: 329-913)
Record when out-wOBAing: 33-7 (League: 1,055-190)
Record when out-wOBAed: 5-38 (League: 190-1,055)
Record when outhomering: 20-8 (League: 682-191)
Record when outhomered: 6-23 (League: 191-682)