It wasn’t last night. Or the day before. Or the day before. Or the day before…
Did you know that the Braves have played seven straight one-run games? How about that they’ve alternated wins and losses in those games? These people did, apparently:
The @Braves have alternated one-run losses and one-run wins in seven straight games.
That is the longest such streak by any team in MLB history. pic.twitter.com/ZXKmiILphp
— OptaSTATS (@OptaSTATS) May 13, 2025
In fact, this streak of one-run games alternating wins and losses is longer than their longest streak of not one-run games so far (five games). The Angels are the only team with A) more one-run games than the Braves and B) a losing record in one-run games; a number of other teams have more such games but also much more success.
The good news is that one-run game outcomes tend to be pretty random, so the Braves should experience an inertial pull upward from their current 15-19 mark in those contests. But, the bad news is that if this pattern holds, they’re on track for a one-run loss tonight.
Daily Notes
Record: 20-21
Yesterday’s wOBA and xwOBA: .331 / .401 (Season rank: 15th | 14th)
Yesterday’s wOBA and xwOBA allowed: .312 / .382 (Season rank: 15th | 11th)
Yesterday’s homers: 1
Yesterday’s homers allowed: 1
Record when out-xwOBAing: 14-9 (League: 453-157)
Record when out-xwOBAed: 6-12 (League: 157-453)
Record when out-wOBAing: 17-2 (League: 520-92)
Record when out-wOBAed: 3-19 (League: 92-520)
Record when outhomering: 9-3 (League: 318-90)
Record when outhomered: 4-12 (League: 90-318)