Tennessee Goes Down, Other Contenders Survive, All Eyes on The Game, GT Wins a Shocker
National Headlines
- Tennessee was crushed by South Carolina as a 22.5 point favorite
- TCU, Michigan, Ohio State, and Georgia all held on after facing real tests
- All eyes this week are on the battle of the unbeatens, Ohio State and Michigan
GT Check-In
- Current Record: 5-6
- Current Ranking and Rating: 83rd, -6.6 rating
- Record Expectations (based on underlying stats): 4.09-6.91
- Future Expectations (based on TBI): 0.00-1.00
- Final Projected Record: 5-7
Tracking the Model
The Binion Index had its worst week of the season, hitting 37% of games ATS and posting a terrible 15.4 average absolute error. We track the model’s performance by analyzing how it does against the Vegas spread over the course of the season, and how it does compared compared to the actual point margin of each game. Winning over 52.3% of games ATS is profitable and a very solid standard of performance, and hitting an absolute error of 12.5 points per game is excellent.
Throughout the season, we’ve been entering the Prediction Tracker from collegefootballdata.com, along with dozens of our other modeling friends. After 12 weeks, the Binion Index is 24th overall ATS and 42nd in absolute error.
Season to Date ATS: 50.0%
ATS Goal: >=52.3%
Season to Date Absolute Error: 13.3
Absolute Error Goal: <=12.5
Week 12 Ratings
Conference and Division Ratings