Michigan Keeps Rolling, UGA-UT is a Top Five Banger, and GT keeps struggling
National Headlines
- Michigan inches past Alabama after another smothering of rival Michigan State
- Ohio State and Georgia held off pesky rivals and remained the clear top two
- Tennessee crushed Kentucky ahead of the Gameday showdown in Athens
- Illinois keeps rolling and climbing
GT Check-In
- Current Record: 3-5
- Current Ranking and Rating: 87th, -5.6 rating
- Record Expectations (based on underlying stats): 2.75-5.25
- Future Expectations (based on TBI): 1.24-2.76
- Final Projected Record: 4.24-7.76
Tracking the Model
The Binion Index had another disappointing week, hitting only 47% of games ATS and posting a not so good 14.2 average absolute error. We track the model’s performance by analyzing how it does against the Vegas spread over the course of the season, and how it does compared compared to the actual point margin of each game. Winning 55% of games ATS is typically considered the gold standard of performance, and hitting an absolute error of 12.5 points per game is excellent.
The college prediction tracker keeps up with ATS and absolute error performance of almost 50 different models. After nine weeks, the Binion Index would be 12th overall ATS and 31st in absolute error.
Season to Date ATS: 50.0%
ATS Goal: >=55%
Season to Date Absolute Error: 13.2
Absolute Error Goal: <=12.5
Week 9 Ratings
Conference and Division Ratings